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  • 1 Seasonal Precipitation Forecast December-January-February 2014-2015 North Africa
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  • 2 Seasonal Temperature Forecast December-January-February 2014-2015 North Africa
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  • 3 Seasonal Precipitation Forecast December-January-February 2014-2015 North Africa
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  • 4 Seasonal Temperature Forecast December-January-February 2014-2015 North Africa
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Given the current circulation, sea surface and sub-surface Temperature patterns and trends, models outputs and expert judgment, the precipitation and temperature outlooks for December-January-February 2014/15 are as follows

 

  • Near to below average precipitation is very likely over northern Morocco and coastal parts of Western Algeria

  • Near average precipitation is more likely over the remaining parts of the region

  • Above average near surface air temperature is very likely over much of north Africa

  • particularly over its eastern part where mild winter is expected

  • Given the expected stronger than usual sub seasonal variability notably of the north

Atlantic Oscillation, monitoring and forecasting days to weeks in advance are strongly recommended to anticipate abrupt changes on weather patterns which may occur. ACMAD/RCC with the developing north Africa RCC climate monitoring node are requested to consider issuing climate watch advisories if significant regional climate anomalies occur during the period of validity of this consensus forecast. Download Bulletin PRESANORD-07